Libdemania

April 20, 2010 at 17:32 Leave a comment

Many people are wondering how just 90mins on TV could make such a change to the LibDems – it doesn’t sound realistic.

Now it could be that people were just waiting for an excuse for LibDem not to be a wasted vote – ie. as soon as they thought it was possible for them to win then they said they would vote for them – The people who’ll “Never Vote Tory” but also want Anyone But Brown.

But let’s look for the simplest solution….

I read earlier that the lib dem bounce started just before the debates.

About the time of the Ash cloud maybe?

Could it be that (with strong stereotyping):
- Tory voters have travelled further afield but can afford the cost and time off to stay where they are.
-Labour voters are expecting our government to do it for them and so are stuck.

LD voters may have holidayed at home or have just gone to Europe so have been able to work their way back.

Given the numbers involved (millions watched on TV, only hundreds of thousands were abroad), I expect I’m wrong.